Detroit; a Case Study (I)
By
Sampson I Onwuka
Rudyard Kipling
“We were dreamers, dreaming greatly, in the man stifled town, We yearned before
the sky-line where the strange roads go down, came the Whisper, came the
vision, came the power with the Need, Till the soul that is not man’s soul was
lent to lead” Charles Dickens ‘Sketches by Boz’ “You are to be in all things
regulated and governed by fact. We hope to have before long, a board of fact,
composed of commissioners of fact, who will force the people to be a people of
fact and of nothing but fact”
Maryam Wright
Edelman writing back on public newspaper ‘The Carolinian’ in article she titled
‘Child Watch’ reintroduced some of the basic themes of Martin Luther’s
‘Movement of the Poor People’ in which circumstance she cited that “At Dr.
King’s death in 1968 when he was calling for a poor people’s campaign, there
were 25.4 million poor Americans, including 11 million poor children, and our
Gross Domestic product was $4.13 trillion. Today, there are 46.2 million poor
people, including $16.1 million
poor children, almost half living
in extreme poverty, and our GDP is three times larger, and
shamefully younger children are poorer they
are.” Citing Martin Luther’s speech from 1967 “Where
we go from here; Chaos or Community’, that
for instance Dr. King mentioned that “The discount
education given Negroes will in the future have
to be purchased at full price if quality education is
to realized. Jobs are harder and costlier to create
than voting rolls. The eradication of slums, housing
millions is far beyond integrating lunch counters.”
That many great Americans are
“uneasy” about injustice but are not willing to do anything to
eradicate it. That “A nation that continues
year after year spoil to spend more money on military
defense than on programs of social uplift”, that
“America, the richest and most powerful nation in
the world can well
lead the way in this revolution
of values.”
Of course actions and non-actions
do effect time in one place or a put, and infinity may not be fully
grasped because of the lack of knowable
actions and non-actions are affected by the arbitrary. Some
unknown economist may have
mentioned that it was information that determines the notions of
individual actions, in a later
years, it was added the meaning that with risk as Hayek argued, that
individual propensity to action
or the functions affecting individual decision making is relatively
associated with levels of
information.
These information levels are any
one point is considered is a ‘flow’ in the market dynamic reflecting the
consumptive behaviors of the
general public or an individual prospective buyer, or the knowledge when
factored into the process of
daily accounting is generally a ‘stock.’ Put from time perspective and
delivered in market daily, that
stock is the measure of a flow in record time, which is usually half-light or
life from the first indications
or indexes, that the calculation to remain efficient with bearings to risks,
must shed or discount in value to
avoid the problems of expansion which the Vega of a flow may have
resulted. A stock cannot sell at
its regular and market price. It is either selling below ‘frozen universe’ or
above ‘expanding universe’ to the
measurable error that profits from previous demand and supply or
from yesterday following a long
and short runs is done market and has no meaning for the next or best
market estimate in the proceeding
day.
Many errors in markets begins
with the hangover over price and stock performance, which like Buffet
argued at some point is
indicative for a period of time and like cycles tend to recur but from all
intent of
reasoning, these metrics or
matrixes (prices) are propelled from dude, sitting dude, has relevance for a
cycle ‘in’ and ‘out’ depends
mainly on fixed Government activity. But to the extent of a stock and flow
market, there are cycles imbedded
in the pricing which is independent of the overall market, this pricing
is not a momentum rather driven
by aggregate and fixed activity influencing momentum allover over the
market, which is not carried by
one stock rather, and it is carried by what happens in the overall market
or one major industry. In essence
the reason why it seems that Buffet’s instances of past records as a
guide for future investment is
accurate is that a particular stock of index is replaced by the activities of
the whole market. What carried a
particular market or any given stock over specific cycles are either
returns on fixed or segmented
investment or a performance driven by the overall market than one, else,
the total excitation of a
particular stock towards efficient market system, is governed by the activity
surrounding one stock in respect
to the whole market.
In one direction an expansion
only offers wafts of possibility but not for gains without risk and certainly
price has no history. In
amplitude, the two forces that a relevant in transmitting some of the
assumptions associated with a
stock, more like a particle when there is both symmetrical expansion in
one direction or asymmetrical
expansion in completely opposite direction, both of which do not occur at
the same time, saving for the
total amount of energy that can affect a particle in spite of external or
internal pressure. The
externalities are shocks in a system or shocks to what is called a dynamic;
system
dynamic. These shocks are
relevant to the system as asymmetrical given the range of propulsion from
initial placing of the object or
stock from first metric or less than 1% per measure, of what the
Hamiltonian atomic mathematicians
regard as a position of particle following a coordinated intervals,
where 1% of any interval is not
equal to one metric or internal. In log work, the dynamic or stable
explosion is said to contain all
the possible points that a particle can achieve in normal adjusted graph,
adding that for instance, a
propulsion from an a cut off barrier such as an exit point from previous
market or stock of index, or in
the finances, a propulsion from an irreversible continuum such as a
convex, especially the first
intervals from zero – without history, gives us an idea of the full expansion
or
direction of the object with
added intervals.
The difference between Sympletic
and Hamiltonian mathematics of Continuum is that excitation of a
particle in an atomic experiment
with all the possible alteration and external pressure gives…..
In more than one form or another,
there is the argument that the finite number is mostly known as the
better illustration of
expansionary position (+) of world, where it is presumed that the forced of
especial
mass or with 'sufficient reason'
can impact the dimension or space of an event horizontal therefore
negative. The mathematical limit
and logarithm of this horizon is a movement from negative to positive
when there are possibilities of
profit and from positive to negative, where one is arbitrary and there are
problems of exiting given the
possibilities of losses and the issue of debt which is not investment in
future market or money not
already had. Since movements are involved in both the negative and
positive movements, there are
chances of profits in both ways, and there are movements still effective
and for all intent of purpose, a
metric or matrixes are not meeting requirement, efficient market
hypothesis not in this case
applicable. As far as the equation is considered necessary to satisfy
'continuum hypothesis' of an ever
expanding world, whose space Einstein once argued are related to
time.
"The interest rate-of-return
rule, in the form here considered, would adopt any project, whose interval
rate is greater than the market
rate of interest." Jack Hirshleifer
"The Internal rate for a
project in the general case is defined as that discounting rate P which reduces
the stream of net returns
associated with the project to a present value of Zero (Or, equivalently, which
makes the discounted value of the
associates cost stream equal to the discounted value of the receipt its
stream)...." Graphs for
"Three solution zones for differing borrowing and lending rates suggest
embraces
and departures...." “The
crucial question as always, for these rules is what rate if discount to use.
intuition tells us that the rate
representing 'marginal' borrowing cost should be used as the discount rate
for zone I solutions, since
production investment will then be carried just to the point justified by the
cost of the associated increment
of borrowing. That is, the slope same as the slope of the productive
opportunity curve at the corresponding
point (R) connected by market curve"
Discount rate to be used in
advance is independent of the utility time preference...function. It leads to
the adverse case of discontinuity
and infinite (2) Problems of present-value or internal-rate-of-return
rules, should be based on lending
or lending rates, it should correlate a bias of tangent as the base of
series of borrowing points, it
can only travel so far, that the marginal lending rate at the present would
only probably infinitely multiply
if based Internal-rate of return, fails when there are multiple tangencies
or single (invariant) productive
possibility where are Jack Hirshleifer argues that "Both rules work only
in
a formal situation when the
solution involves direct tangent between a productive opportunity locus
and a utility isoquant, since the
discount rate necessary for us of both rules is the marginal opportunity
rate - a product of the
analysis." ....that is if we put in the incident of non-independent
investment
opportunities such as Insurance...
Multitasking-equal to
distribution of rate, (Division of Labor) - within parts of 'interest rate' -
activity
construct. DNA of economics
increasing marginal cost to borrowing is an experimental value and it
involves 'capital rationing'
'fixed capital budgets', that is each additional borrowing incurs reset...which
increases the bump speed of
default, for instance the Detroit case.
Taken from first through third
degrees of Debt, we may consider that (1) income capacities of any nation
or household is not the same as
actual earnings any given duration. (2) That the expected returns of
investment is no guarantee that
objectives are met at any given time and for that (3) investments are
equal to debt or earnings not
already had. (4) Total expenditures and savings should not give us an idea
of total income but should
demonstrate a rate of return which may in likely serve as the basis of a real
economic comparison. (5)
Equilibrium is only possible when all functions of utility is met and demand
equal supply (5b) Disequilibrium
should therefore represent a descriptive state which involves the
independent variables of natural
disaster and emergent condition, to the degree that Micro Equilibrium
of appropriating the emergencies
through a rate of rate can also incur problems of micro-disequilibrium,
especially the information and
the size of the incident is not exactly known. In the end, (6)
microdisequilibrium is perhaps a
false bias on the probabilities associated with accommodating disasters
or other problem of
disequilibrium such as income (equilibrium) without adequate insurance (health
plan), which is constituted as
savings which however outside the expectations of a normal market. (7)
Microdisequilibrium is
equal to Insurance provisions or at least inversely related to individual
income
and interest, that (8)
Macro-disequilibrium is based on the overall
*----* June 30th, 2015 ----
Definitive thesis on a case for Detroit……
The exercise of the process as we
see clearly and from all stand point is that partial inclination to
pressure, increases the rate at
which a recovery can be established in normal circumstances of any
society and group of friends, or
in terms of company and military organization derived from any else.
We have to show that when a
structure is hewn in any society and for any number of reasons, it stands
on its own for any number reasons
and for any length of time and it descend and decay due prevailing
economic conditions, it factors
out differently, it meets the cycle half way and always as in the end, it
struggles from poor economic
condition and health like Detroit. It is also a way of coming to grasp with
some of the assumptions in a
recovery process for big American Cities such as Baltimore, Chicago and
New York, some of them with the
process of the facility including the indigent issues of Poverty from
American past.
Poor House, the Work houses,
which FDR ended and the shift from do it yourself self-repairing economy
to moratorium by Government,
stability pact with a Central Bank, and rise of Welfare nation. The
transitional of the Poor Houses
to Work Houses and under FDR was abolished or at least transferred into
workers dormitory or retained
with full payment both indentured whites and correction facilities that
from the end of civil war kept
minorities in jail houses - usually without pay. The rise of the Welfare as
anti-segregation public policy
concerned with Wealth distribution, carried many of the ruled associated
with equal taxation but left the
minority Blacks and others who were to benefit from employment due
to structural changes in America
in the hands of others.
The price of Citizenship by
Michael B. Katz; 2001 “Although Social Security Medicare, food stamps and
the Earned Income Tax credit are
national programs that differ widely in eligibility rules and benefits”
Medicaid is federal state
engagement that allows with advent of 50’s American Society…. there was
an
increase penetration. “Although
by the 1950’s a close observer could have found signs of trouble in
older industrial cities, it was
in the 1960’s, 1970s, and 1980’s that cities began to hemorrhage
manufacturing Jobs. In a national
sample, 30 percent of manufacturing plants that had more than one
hundred employees in 1969 had
closed by 1976.”
The oldest cities were according
to him were the hardest hit, “Between 1954 and 1977 Detroit lost
about half of its manufacturing
Jobs, between 1947 and 1982 the number of manufacturing jobs in
Chicago plummeted from 668, 000
to 277,000.” Among the supposed hardest hits: Camden, New Jersey;
Flint, Michigan; or East St.
Louis, Illinois….Separating ‘productivity from wages’…also. He argued that the
economic expansion of 1993
reduced poverty to 12.7 percent in 1998, the rate was still higher that it
had been at the end of the last
economic expansion in 1969.”
FERA (1933) and Civil Works
Administration (1934), George Romney…..John Engler, Expenses from the
criminal justice system has
‘swallowed’ 608 million in the 80’s….Crimes in Detroit ranked sixth in the 90’s
but Detroit jailed more Blacks
than anybody….He mentioned that under Engler that Michigan shed 22%
of the Welfare service and…..and
part of the programs that were removed was the $160 a month as
compensations for people
struggling with all kinds of situation and for Welfare.
The opposition of these Acts by
blacks who mentioned that they did not benefit from the New Deal, that
it was a raw deal given the fact
that the Democrats who were mainly Whites before the New Deal and
Southern, simply levitated the
segregation laws already evident in the South into the New Deal, that the
many of the standards which they
set, "prices" "wages" and some of the outcomes of the
Standards as
later discovered such as the
blunders of HOLC in mapping the neighborhoods in the United States
according the four levels of
decays, were in fact opportunity which began in real light but cast a
perpetual light on segregation.
() Some of them argued that the burden of proof was on truly and due to
the Government but the rights to
prosperity was based on a system of administration that left many of
those who were still angry from
their defeat during the Civil war in the corridors to essentially judge
them.
New York also faced the problems
of Irish people who were not very tolerant of other Irish JJC, so also
the English, and the spark of
little Irish communities did not give in to others, and when the others left,
they found comfort among
themselves and in their communities. The same was the case with Italians.
First they labeled criminals and
next they had problems netting a living wage and then there was a larger
problem of neighborhoods which
were not exactly there. Little Italy was a small comfort of a people that
threw their lot together with
Verrazano and like the rest that drum their past along the settlers such as
Pulaski, a sharp divide between
these people and the rest of the New Yorkers gradually emerged. The
sport that the light the night
was death of the Irish versus the Italian, death of the Dutch versus the
Jews, death of the Jew or
whatever name they go by that was called Blacks and Muslims. It reality, the
Cops in the City of New York has
no choice but to take parts. The Irish suffered the most until they
gradually built massive
collocation of Migrants no less than Mexicans of today and began to decidedly
take over. In essence, some of
the names and parks and places that we hear today is derived from long
chain of ‘gangs’ that supplied
the City with everything it could imagine, that nearly half of U.S gangsters
were from New York was not due to
the lionized position of the stars but of what happened from its
beginning, that like the country
inherited all kinds of sickness and bias, it was a matter of the aging that
could prove the deadened a
silence.
This is not the problem, there
was an unaffected group of Americans who lived in what Harlem many of
whom slept through the Civil
Wars, many of whom originally arrived with others and headed upstate,
many of whom did not understand
what slavery looked like and what it was about. These people
eventually had their own problems
of segregation, for a start there is a place downtown in New York
that was once lived by others.
These days, there is a disappearing of what you might call the Little Italy
what we now find around this area
is flowering of a new culture of new China. It was Irish that had the
five points at some point, at
some point it was the Italians and at some point it was the Jews and then
others as with Bolsheviks and
Hungarians and Germans of no Jewish or Arabian blood ties. Largely to be
remembered imperturbability of
the shared past in what is not Europe, where Jews were reduced to
ghettos…..
Robert Shilling is from Detroit
and is popular for his book on why people are not always worried about
the market and about the
possibility of losing the price value of their house or other people’s problems
when their house is sudden worth
20% or 30% more. The book is called ‘irrational exuberance’ and the
familiarity of Shilling with the
U.S housing mentioned that Real Estate in US in ‘2000’ was behaving like
the stock market in 1999. The
importance of this exertion may not have been recognized by the Public,
but the Main Street is usually
different from Wall Street for many reasons, including the often cited
dissociation of the rental prices
from VAR. There is nowhere measure of VAR that incorporates the
housing index, for the simple
reasons that U.S housing Index is the very fulcrum of all Real Estate and it
is built for the future and a
guarantee of wealth expected to grow but like the U.S Bond market it can be
sold and repurchased if possible
according to the growing demands of the market.
But emphasis on Detroit market
and the rate at which Shilling skewed over the housing problems in
Detroit measures a kind of
attitude that was growing over Michigan. Was Michigan or Detroit a
separation of people only and
mainly, or was a gradual expected decline of an overnight Industry City
that nearing its end thereby
forcing Whites and better informed others to make a faithful exit before the
long dry season. Perhaps the
measure of subsistence of a town of educated elite and daring pedigree
would have seen that the broad
reach of the town was not to be limited to a geography that was
contested, though the bitter
outcomes of the racial profile and divide added the bitter leaves to the
process, it is still an
unanswered question, whether the departures from Detroit or what they call the
White Flight was do the level of
stress from living with others, or that the potential for growth was
peaked following and his presage
a long decline.
Of course this question will meet
an ultimate answer, for sure when a journalist writes that older Cities
were hardest hit during the
recent recessions, we want to be sure about what he meant by Old Cities. In
contemporary American history,
three types have since.....being identified. These one, Cities that existed
and achieved the
industrialization before the 1930's, and were destined to attract more a share
of the
national Banking and financial
Institutions, and these includes New York, Chicago,...and the second types
of American Cities were those
that emerged from the Conflict and compromise of American past,
bearing the stamps of the old
administrative bloc but attending the heights of Industrialization only
gradually. There are others such
as Detroit that resulted from necessities and from the benefits of
leaving close to the river and
from the well of investment from the within states. These states usually
had bright sparks at some point
but was never a major player until the necessities of war or the
innovations compelled them to
Industrial heights.
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